Publication: The Impact of U.S. monetary policy on capital flows to emerging market economies
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eng
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Estados Unidos da América
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BR
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Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (Ipea)
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Discussion Paper 269 : The Impact of U.S. monetary policy on capital flows to emerging market economies, O Impacto dos EUA política monetária sobre fluxos de capital para economias de mercado emergentes
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Abstract
Este texto examina o impacto potencial da normalização da política monetária dos Estados Unidos sobre os fluxos de capital em carteira direcionados para as economias de mercados emergentes (EMEs), levando em conta explicitamente a política monetária não convencional dos Estados Unidos. Construímos um modelo econométrico dos fatores que movem os fluxos de capital para as EMEs, e os resultados sugerem que o Brasil talvez seja menos vulnerável que as EMEs a mudanças na política monetária dos Estados Unidos.
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This paper examines the potential impact of US monetary policy normalization on portfolio capital flows to Emerging Markets Economies (EME) explicitly taking into account the unconventional US monetary policy. We build an econometric model of the drivers of capital flows to EMEs and the results suggest that Brazil maybe less vulnerable than EMEs to changes in US monetary policy.