A Global Realignment by 2020: U.S. Decline, Emerging Economies Rise

Abstract

In IPC’s One Pager #62, we projected until 2015 the impact on the global economy of rising oil prices, a falling dollar and a U.S. recession, and then the additional effect of the monetary and fiscal stimulus that the U.S. Government implemented in response to the crisis. In the process, we discovered that the long-term prospects of the U.S. economy were projected to worsen after 2015. (...)

No One Pager No. 62 do CIP projetamos até 2015 o impacto sobre a economia global dos preços do